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Monday, October 26, 2026

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NBA joins pro sports leagues on CFTC prediction markets bandwagon while NFL balks



The deals arrive as the prediction markets face a nationwide legal battle with several state governments that contend such betting belongs more appropriately under the power of their gambling laws. Three major federal court decisions have landed on both sides of the issue, with two of them favoring the states’ argument. The U.S. Supreme Court has been asked to step in and resolve the dispute, including by the NFL, which sided with the states in a filing with the high court.

The NFL argued that the CFTC’s federal oversight has been lax and understaffed, and it said the growing industry’s platforms “are not subject to the same rigorous regulatory constructs and oversight provided by state gaming authorities.”

Mike Selig, the CFTC chairman who has aggressively sought to bolster the industry on several paths — including legal fights with states, new regulations and these information agreements — called the NBA’s decision “a responsible step toward protecting sports integrity and market participants from abuses in prediction markets like insider trading and fraud.”

Kalshi said in a Monday posting on its website that the exchange and the NBA will “share integrity data, report suspicious trading, and cooperate on investigations,” adding the the arrangement “includes restrictions on permissible markets and explicit prohibitions on league and team personnel trading NBA event contracts, reinforcing our rules against insider trading and manipulation.”

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